Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 91675.923670 96676.583760 101673.584514 107038.197795 112630.979656 118286.263528 124433.493541
2025-07-13 84288.797592 91998.866347 99914.668523 108638.649716 117972.826217 127649.763304 138429.699956
2025-07-20 78999.766577 88608.470012 98686.045834 110021.767575 122395.420041 135469.913222 150307.062980
2025-07-27 74584.022479 85601.810006 97365.869368 110825.652162 125762.481565 141793.188288 160261.076253
2025-08-03 70548.550116 82636.442769 95748.423253 110975.547779 128117.984875 146764.995495 168526.211100
2025-08-10 67274.601946 80263.399359 94553.964537 111372.065238 130548.363786 151656.778707 176571.199696
2025-08-17 64239.481017 77961.173758 93257.567222 111480.993445 132503.139678 155894.481557 183788.021078
2025-08-24 62242.801626 76721.587952 93055.564175 112731.408829 135667.919349 161436.917266 192447.591373
2025-08-31 59669.724744 74673.666195 91797.472740 112646.508349 137196.846729 165035.315270 198829.629669
2025-09-07 58204.926932 73852.839738 91900.535354 114087.759266 140451.753803 170595.482926 207473.844928
2025-09-14 56604.378286 72788.086993 91644.378572 115041.939923 143086.408334 175405.833024 215239.142608
2025-09-21 54675.688203 71243.063209 90740.800887 115155.937924 144669.480189 178944.712032 221492.648606
2025-09-28 52777.056299 69686.041761 89786.217971 115185.307343 146147.734535 182380.083419 227676.338292
2025-10-05 51858.660197 69304.257172 90231.932762 116894.785028 149645.216630 188232.505624 236778.844653
2025-10-12 50886.677273 68811.228490 90505.028203 118365.246496 152838.401096 193723.770588 245475.002298
2025-10-19 49678.484213 67971.232460 90306.865079 119218.949214 155253.775332 198269.231726 253042.609021
2025-10-26 48211.518619 66748.717934 89584.281015 119378.151746 156781.218299 201718.564824 259278.694998
2025-11-02 46948.144957 65744.703882 89097.937736 119798.961384 158607.665578 205520.678751 265949.940124
2025-11-09 45613.690101 64604.062860 88398.424310 119914.558729 160025.353948 208805.441527 271986.518517
2025-11-16 44886.259183 64234.104798 88663.550934 121241.364917 162958.879221 213969.260128 280366.853151
2025-11-23 43580.048931 63055.963691 87849.242843 121151.283263 164074.166958 216859.918472 285927.112174
2025-11-30 43024.590537 62861.700621 88297.808393 122680.394654 167249.133337 222334.147736 294737.961575
2025-12-07 42280.886936 62388.452803 88360.489399 123692.627067 169755.503662 226974.181851 302525.494257